CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-08-19T04:44:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-08-19T04:44ZCME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-08-22T10:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 55.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
The two Coronal Mass Ejections mentioned yesterday have been analysed. The first CME, first seen in LASCO C2 at 23:00 UT August 18 to the south west, is not deemed to be Earth directed. The second CME, first visible in LASCO C2 at 04:49UT August 19, is also mostly directed to the south-west. However, in LASCO C3 a faint partial halo signature can also be seen. A glancing blow at Earth may be expected on August 22. No other Earth directed CMEs have been observed in the coronagraph imagery.Lead Time: 45.32 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Chris Stubenrauch (M2M SWAO) on 2022-08-20T12:41Z
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